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The agency uses nine indicators to track market sentiment in mainland China's stock market, including margin trading, the number of new registered investors, volume, relative strength index, the number of shares traded and closed, and earnings revision. These indicators will give warning signals when they rise to about 80%.
Morgan Stanley reiterated its "overweight" recommendation for A shares. It maintained its target of the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index at 4300 points at the end of 2019, which means that there is nearly 15% room for improvement over Tuesday's closing position.
Just two weeks ago, Morgan Stanley raised its 2010 Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 index target to 4,300, 17% higher than its closing date. At that time, the Shanghai Index and GEM index entered the bull market one after another.
Institutions are bullish
Not only Morgan Stanley, but also many domestic and foreign research institutions are optimistic about China's stock market.
Goldman Sachs strategist Liu Jinjin said earlier this week that if retail optimism returns to its peak in 2015, the Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 index is expected to continue to rise by 50%. If the peak of investor sentiment in 2018 is calculated, the index will rise by about 15%.
The reason why Liu Jinjin's team is optimistic about A shares is that risk sentiment has improved markedly. Second, many investors have not fully participated in the rally. The strong performance of the current stock index makes investors afraid of short-selling errors, so they may panic into the market.



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