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The French Foreign Trade Bank (Natixis) recently issued a report analysing Hong Kong's current capital outflow and pointing out that local uncertainty has begun to affect asset prices, but has not yet triggered a large-scale capital outflow.
The report analyses local capital flows, bank loans and deposits. In terms of capital flows, the report indicates that housing prices further adjusted downward in September, but the performance of the Hang Seng Index. HSI is different. As the short-selling ratio and the volatility of the stock market remain stable, the market risk preference has not changed much.
The net outflow of foreign capital has decreased as a whole, but Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Express have converted to net outflow. To the south, mainland investors have increased the allocation of H shares for arbitrage. In the northward direction, net outflows from Hong Kong to the Mainland increased, equivalent to 6.5 times net inflows to the inclusion of A shares in the S&P emerging market global benchmark index and the FTSE Russell index.


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