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Kim ten reported earlier novel coronavirus pneumonia did not seem to have frightened the global stock market. After a brief fall, the world's major stock indexes rose, and the European and American stock markets continued to record a new high.
Driven by the risk aversion sentiment, the bond market was also very hot for a time, and the yield of US bonds fell significantly. On January 30 and February 10, the yield curves of us three-month and ten-year Treasury bonds briefly hung upside down, but then returned to normal.
In a crowded bond market, however, one class of bonds is visibly cold.
Bloomberg's assessment of a total of $3.3 trillion of inflation linked bonds in developed countries points out that in recent weeks the price of these bonds has fallen far behind other nominal instruments, reflecting the market's underestimation of the risk of inflation.
In the United States and the euro area, the market's expected price of five-year / five-year forward inflation swap has hardly changed in a few months, especially in Europe. Another inflation target for the bond market is the U.S. 10-year break even inflation rate, which rose at the end of 2019 and hit 1.65% this year, but is still below its one-year and five-year average.


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